Parameterize the real-world disruption layer of ReliaSim

Most line models simulate what machines are designed to do. ReliaSim’s interrupts model what actually happens, the random failures and repairs that override nominal behavior. ReliaStats® is the tool for setting those interrupts up. It’s desktop software for Mac and Windows that runs entirely on your own machine.

The Designer is free and runs in your browser. Fitting runs offline, and your event data never leaves your machine.

A time-to-failure distribution (solid blue) and a time-to-repair distribution (dashed red) for one interrupt TTF, uptime TTR, repair Time (min) → PDF
The parameterization job

Every interrupt needs a time-to-failure and a time-to-repair distribution

Every interrupt captures a real-world disruption, a random event that overrides a machine’s nominal behavior. Each one is defined by two distributions: how long a node runs before the event occurs (TTF) and how long recovery takes (TTR). If these are wrong, the simulation will be wrong too.

TTF controls how often the line is interrupted

Time to failure is how long a node operates before an interrupt occurs. That covers random breakdowns, scheduled downtime, wear-out and volume-based triggers.

TTR decides how disruptive each stop is

Time to repair is how long a node is unavailable once interrupted, for maintenance, resets, refills or operator response. TTF and TTR together are the machine’s reliability profile.

Build and compare distributions yourself

Design distributions from scratch, explore fitted parameters, or compare versions side by side. You don’t need a statistician, and nothing is uploaded.

“Traditional methods of parameterizing interrupts require dedicated time and attention from an expert to manually manipulate the tape and use their knowledge to distill line event data into cause groups, each with unique TTF and TTR distributions. The process is time-consuming, expensive, and requires an expert.”
ReliaSim documentation on interrupt parameterization
The fitting workflow

From line event data to validated ReliaSim parameters

The fitting engine turns raw line event data (LEDS) into interrupt distributions, fitted per failure mode, with goodness-of-fit output you can check. A raw event tape goes in, and TTF and TTR distributions mapped to cause groups come out, ready for ReliaSim.

Input

Line event data

One row per stop from a historian or downtime system: where, why, when, or the uptime and downtime in minutes.

Engine

Fitting engine

Finds the cause groups automatically, fits all eight distribution types to each, and ranks them with Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Anderson-Darling tests.

Output

Validated parameters

A TTF and TTR pair for every interrupt, exported as a file ReliaSim imports directly, then checked against the line’s own history.

Closed loop: line event data feeds ReliaStats, which produces interrupts for ReliaSim; ReliaSim's output returns as an interrupt summary that ReliaStats validates against history Line Event Data historian CSV ReliaStats design · fit · validate Interrupts TTF + TTR distributions ReliaSim simulate baseline sim output Interrupt Summary results validate

The loop closes when ReliaSim’s output comes back to ReliaStats and is checked against the same history, interrupt by interrupt.

Seven tools, one workflow

Explore, design, view, compare and validate interrupt distributions in the browser, and fit them automatically in the ReliaStats desktop app. Explorer, Quick Start and Designer are free. Viewer, Comparison, Validation and desktop fitting need a ReliaStats subscription.

Interrupt Quick Start

Free

The guided way in. Pick an equipment failure pattern and ReliaStats sets a sensible TTF and TTR pair for you, with the availability and stops per shift it implies.

Interrupt Designer

Free

Build a TTF and TTR pair from scratch. See PDF, CDF and survival curves, a p5 to p95 box-and-whisker, a working and failed timeline over a shift, and the availability the pair implies.

Interrupt Explorer

Free with sign-in

Pareto-rank every failure cause at once and overlay their survival curves R(t), straight from .xlsx or .csv stop logs. It runs locally, so your data never leaves your machine.

Interrupt Fitting

Subscription · desktop app

Import raw historian event logs. ReliaStats identifies cause groups, fits and ranks all eight distribution types with K-S and Anderson-Darling tests, and exports a ReliaSim-ready file.

Interrupt Viewer

Subscription

Load any ReliaSim interrupt file and click through every interrupt’s uptime and downtime distributions, a fast audit of a full model’s parameters.

Interrupt Comparison

Subscription

Two interrupt files side by side, with every numeric difference shown, rows marked by size of change and the curves overlaid.

Interrupt Validation

Subscription

Source against simulated availability, interrupt by interrupt, with 95% prediction-interval and 99% confidence-interval bands. Points on the diagonal match history, and points outside the bands show where to refine.

Where it fits

Where ReliaStats fits in the ReliaSim process

ReliaStats owns the data step. It turns raw event history into interrupt distributions, then closes the loop by checking the simulation’s results against the same history.

1

Build

Define the production line in ReliaSim and parameterize each machine’s interrupt behavior from raw historian event data.

This is the ReliaStats step

2

Validate

Check the simulation against the line’s measured performance. A published food-plant model rebuilt in ReliaSim matched measured OEE within 1% (case study).

3

Decide

Run what-if scenarios and commit capital where the validated model says it belongs, without touching the line. The ReliaSim method covers all three steps.

Distribution support

All 8 ReliaSim distribution types

Every distribution ReliaSim supports, with parameters exactly as ReliaSim stores them, including real-space mean and standard deviation for LogNormal.

Weibull

λ scale, κ shape, γ location

Shape κ < 1 is infant mortality, κ = 1 is random, κ > 1 is wear-out. The most versatile reliability distribution.

Wear-out and random failures

LogNormal

mean x̄, std dev s

Right-skewed: most values small, with occasional large outliers. A good fit for variable repair times.

Repair times, compounded delays

Normal

μ mean, σ std dev

Symmetric around the mean. Use it carefully for TTF, since it allows negative values unless constrained.

Consistent human-driven processes

Exponential

λ rate, mean = 1/λ

Memoryless: the chance of failure doesn’t grow with age. A constant failure rate.

Random, independent failures

Uniform

min, max

Equal probability across a range. Useful when a value can fall anywhere in a range and none is preferred.

Limited data, bounded range

Triangular

min, max, mode

A simple three-point estimate, easy to explain when only expert estimates are available.

Expert estimates, quick modeling

Johnson SU

γ, δ, ξ, λ

A flexible four-parameter family that handles skewed and heavy-tailed data simpler distributions can’t capture.

Complex empirical data

Fixed / Schedule

x value

Deterministic: it always returns the same value. Models predictable scheduled events with no variance.

Shift changes, planned maintenance

Reliability fundamentals

The bathtub curve

Every component follows a failure-rate pattern over its life. Knowing which phase your equipment is in tells you which distribution to use, and which fix to reach for.

The bathtub curve: a falling failure rate in infant mortality, a flat rate during random failure, and a rising rate in wear-out Time → Failure rate Infant mortality Random failure Wear-out κ < 1 κ = 1 κ > 1

Infant mortality

Weibull (κ < 1)

Defects, installation errors and manufacturing variation cause early failures that decrease over time. The component is most likely to fail soon after it goes into service.

In the Designer, a Weibull with κ < 1 captures this. The hazard is highest at t = 0 and falls as the weak units fail out.

Burn-in testing, strict incoming QA, early replacement schedules

Random failure

Exponential, Weibull (κ = 1)

Failures occur independently of age: external shocks, operator error, voltage spikes. The failure rate is constant, so knowing how long a component has run tells you nothing about when it will fail next.

This is the useful-life phase, and the memoryless Exponential distribution is the standard model.

Redundancy, condition monitoring, failure mode analysis

Wear-out

Weibull (κ > 1), LogNormal

Fatigue, corrosion, erosion and material degradation make the failure rate rise with age. Failures become more predictable, and more preventable, near end of life.

Weibull with κ > 1 fits wear-out well. κ of 2 to 3 is common for mechanical fatigue, and a higher κ means failures cluster more tightly.

Scheduled replacement, life-limit programs

Try the Designer

Set any TTF and TTR pair and see the curves, percentiles and availability move. It runs in your browser with no account, and you can download it to run offline.

Launch the Designer Book a live walkthrough